Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.004938 0.005461 0.006002 0.006602 0.007250 0.007926 0.008684
2025-01-26 0.004037 0.004772 0.005572 0.006505 0.007557 0.008703 0.010043
2025-02-02 0.003518 0.004368 0.005329 0.006487 0.007837 0.009352 0.011174
2025-02-09 0.003118 0.004040 0.005115 0.006450 0.008047 0.009883 0.012141
2025-02-16 0.002896 0.003893 0.005087 0.006604 0.008461 0.010639 0.013366
2025-02-23 0.002593 0.003615 0.004872 0.006506 0.008550 0.010993 0.014104
2025-03-02 0.002383 0.003434 0.004759 0.006517 0.008758 0.011481 0.015002
2025-03-09 0.002289 0.003394 0.004815 0.006737 0.009223 0.012287 0.016296
2025-03-16 0.002150 0.003281 0.004767 0.006812 0.009500 0.012858 0.017305
2025-03-23 0.002053 0.003218 0.004777 0.006958 0.009866 0.013542 0.018463
2025-03-30 0.001978 0.003180 0.004816 0.007139 0.010277 0.014287 0.019708
2025-04-06 0.001800 0.002981 0.004623 0.006996 0.010250 0.014461 0.020218
2025-04-13 0.001669 0.002846 0.004516 0.006969 0.010381 0.014850 0.021024
2025-04-20 0.001528 0.002685 0.004364 0.006872 0.010411 0.015105 0.021659
2025-04-27 0.001422 0.002572 0.004272 0.006853 0.010545 0.015495 0.022473
2025-05-04 0.001320 0.002457 0.004171 0.006814 0.010645 0.015837 0.023223
2025-05-11 0.001279 0.002436 0.004208 0.006976 0.011029 0.016570 0.024511
2025-05-18 0.001175 0.002305 0.004071 0.006873 0.011031 0.016775 0.025082
2025-05-25 0.001106 0.002228 0.004013 0.006885 0.011194 0.017204 0.025962
2025-06-01 0.001091 0.002242 0.004097 0.007114 0.011678 0.018087 0.027481
2025-06-08 0.001044 0.002197 0.004085 0.007193 0.011941 0.018662 0.028578
2025-06-15 0.001016 0.002183 0.004121 0.007346 0.012316 0.019398 0.029910
2025-06-22 0.000996 0.002183 0.004179 0.007535 0.012747 0.020221 0.031373